A consortium of banks is coming together in launching a joint business venture for its in-development blockchain commerce platform. Specifically, the Digital Trade Chain group is building a distributed ledger framework that will connect a buyer, sellers, banks, and intermediaries to simplify transaction management and tracking.
The consortium aims to create a new business entity in the Republic of Ireland, jointly owned by the eight founding banks, that will manage and delegate the offering, now rebranded as “we.trade.” The expected date of formation is speculated to be by the end of the year.
In an official statement, the consortium said: “The commercialization of the platform is expected in 2Q18. From February 2018, test clients of the founding banks will be able to use the platform.”
Amongst the consortium’s membership includes Banco Santander, Deutsche Bank, HSBC, KBC, Natixis, Rabobank, Societe Generale and UniCredit- as well as IBM.
In the upcoming months, the consortium seeks to attract additional partners on top of financial services. One particular area of focus will be companies involved in the trade process, including shipping – an industry that has seen rapidly growing interested in blockchain tech in recent months.
Ether (ETH) price tumbled below the $3,000 support on Jan. 21 as regulatory uncertainty continues to weigh down the sector and rumors that the United States Securities and Exchange Commission is reviewing DeFi’s high-yield crypto lending products continue to circulate.
On Jan. 27, the Russian Finance Ministry submitted a crypto regulatory framework for review. The proposal suggests that crypto operations are carried out within the traditional banking infrastructure and that mechanisms to identify traders’ personal data are included.
Further bearish news came as Ryan Korner, a top special agent from the United States Internal Revenue Service (IRS) Criminal Investigation’s Los Angeles field office, issued negative remarks during a virtual event hosted by the USC Gould School of Law. According to Ryan, crypto is the “future,” but ”fraud and manipulation are still rampant in the space.”
Ether bulls are trying to determine whether the Jan. 24 drop to $2,140 was the final bottom for the current downtrend. This 47.5% correction in 30 days caused an aggregate of $1.58 billion in long futures contracts to be liquidated.
Notice how Ether’s price has been downtrending for 75 days, respecting a channel that currently holds $2,200 as a support level. On the other hand, a 19% price increase from the current $2,500 to the $3,000 resistance would not necessarily mean a trend reversal.
Curiously, call (buy) option instruments vastly dominate Friday’s $1.1 billion expiry, but bears are better positioned after Ether price stabilized below $3,000.
A broader view using the call-to-put ratio shows an 82% advantage to Ether bulls because the $680 million call (buy) instruments have a larger open interest versus the $410 million put (sell) options. However, the 1.82 call-to-put indicator is deceptive because the price drop below $3,000 caused most bullish bets to become worthless.
For example, if Ether’s price remains below $2,500 at 8:00 am UTC on Jan. 28, only $57 million worth of those call (buy) options will be available. That effect happens because there is no value in the right to buy Ether at $2,500 if it is trading below this level.
Data suggests bulls are set for a significative loss
Below are the three most likely scenarios based on the current price action. The number of options contracts available on Friday for bulls (call) and bear (put) instruments vary depending on the expiry price. The imbalance favoring each side constitutes the theoretical profit:
Between $2,200 and $2,400: 3,200 calls vs. 121,500 puts. The net result is $270 million favoring the put (bear) instruments.
Between $2,400 and $2,700: 19,500 calls vs. 95,500 puts. The net result favors bears by $190 million.
Between $2,700 and $2,900: 34,700 calls vs. 73,400 puts. The net result favors the put (bear) options by $110 million.
This crude estimate considers the call options used in bullish bets and the put options exclusively in neutral-to-bearish trades. Even so, this oversimplification disregards more complex investment strategies.
For instance, a trader could have sold a call option, effectively gaining a negative exposure to Ether above a specific price. But unfortunately, there’s no easy way to estimate this effect.
Bears will try to hold ETH below $2,400
Ether bears need a gentle push below $2,400 to score a $270 million profit on Friday. On the other hand, bulls would need an 8.4% price recovery from the current $2,500 to reduce their loss by 58%.
Considering the bearish regulatory newsflow, Ether bulls are unlikely willing to add more risk right now. Therefore, bulls should concentrate their efforts to partially salvage this defeat by keeping Ether price above $2,500, resulting in a $170 million loss.
January seems to have given Ether bears the upper hand in keeping the pressure on the price in the short term.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.
Polygon (MATIC) emerged as one of the best performers among high-ranking cryptocurrencies on Jan. 26 as the price rose nearly 17% to reach an intraday high at $1.825.
The gains surfaced amid a synchronous rebound across the crypto market that started on Jan. 24. In detail, investors and traders poured in over $250 billion across digital assets, benefiting Bitcoin (BTC), Ether (ETH) and many others in the process.
Polygon, a secondary scaling solution for the Ethereum blockchain, also cashed in on the crypto market rebound. The valuation of its native token, MATIC, rose from as low as $9.77 billion on Jan.24 to as high as $13.58 billion two days later.
Meanwhile, its price jumped from $1.312 to $1.825 in the same period — that’s nearly a 40% gain in just three days.
Fed meeting and high-profile hiring
The latest bout of buying in the Polygon market appeared ahead of a Federal Reserve announcement about its interest rate increase scheduled to come on the afternoon of Jan. 26.
In detail, cryptocurrencies have also been through several whipsaws in recent months over expectations that the U.S. central bank would embark on a series of interest rate hikes to fight inflation. Similarly, stock markets have suffered because of the prospect of the Fed’s shrinking balance sheet and higher rates.
According to Luca Paolini, the chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management, people may have expectations that the recent turmoil in the stock market and a rising rift between Ukraine and Russia that has drawn in NATO allies’ focus may have the Fed tone down its rate hike rhetorics.
Nonetheless, Polygon managed to outperform top rivals like Bitcoin and Ethereum in terms of intraday gains, and it appears a high-profile hiring was the core reason behind it.
As Cointelegraph reported on Jan. 25, YouTube’s head of gaming, Ryan Watts, left the streaming giant to join Polygon Studios, a gaming and nonfungible token (NFT), backed by the namesake layer-2 protocol’s $100 million fund.
MATIC’s sharp rebound placed the price back above its 200-day exponential moving average (200-day EMA; the blue wave in the chart below), a level significant for its role in limiting the market’s downside bias.
On Jan. 25, MATIC bulls attempted to reclaim the 200-day EMA as support almost a week after losing it. The drop-and-bounce around the blue wave looked very similar to the price action in the July–August period last year, wherein closing above it had led to a 200%-plus price rally.
The fractal shows strong buying sentiment among MATIC traders near the 200-day EMA.
Therefore, should the price stay above the support, its likelihood of continuing its uptrend appears higher. Nonetheless, the bullish momentum risks exhaustion near MATIC’s descending trendline resistance, as shown in the chart above.
The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.
At the time of writing, two breakthroughs of $38,000 had occurred, with the pair lingering just below that level amid further direction cues.
For Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe, the signs were encouraging, with the stage being set for a potential exit from the $30,000–$40,000 corridor.
“Bitcoin held $36K and tested $38K already. If that one tests again, we are likely to get a breakout and potentially test $40.7K,” he told Twitter followers.
Almost as bullish on short timeframes was trader, analyst and podcast host Scott Melker, known as the “Wolf Of All Streets.”
“Target is $39,600, which as you know is ‘coincidentally’ the key resistance on higher time frames,” he said as part of his latest Twitter update, identifying a cup and handle pattern on the hourly chart.
Even if the overall trend demands that Bitcoin continue to fall, he added, $39,600 remained important as a zone to challenge.
Here is $39,600 on the weekly. This is where bullish market structure broke down with a lower low.
This is the initial target of my current longs. It “should” theoretically be retested as resistance, even if we are going down further.